Market Update- June 22, 2020
The Week on Wall Street
Stocks moved higher last week on news of more Federal Reserve market support and diminished concerns that new COVID-19 cases might lead to another economic shutdown.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 1.04%, while the Standard & Poor’s 500 gained 1.86%. The Nasdaq Composite Index jumped 3.73% for the week. The MSCI EAFE Index, which tracks developed overseas stock markets, increased 1.88%. i, ii, iii
Investor Sentiment
News on Monday that the Fed would be expanding its bond-buying program to include the debt of individual companies sparked a sharp jump in stocks. The momentum gained through the week as investors focused on positive economic signals, especially with retail sales. A midweek report of an effective COVID-19 treatment for critically ill patients boosted investor optimism.
Market sentiment also was helped by talk of more fiscal stimulus and a report that China would be moving ahead with agricultural purchases to comply with phase one of the trade deal, easing concerns over growing friction in the U.S.-China relationship.
Mixed Economic Data
Last week’s economic data illustrated the uneven nature of the nation’s nascent economic recovery.
Retail sales, which were up by 17.7% in May, reflected a strong, encouraging rebound in the U.S. consumer. Consumer spending was particularly strong in clothing, furniture, sporting goods, and autos. iv, v
But industrial production (up by only 1.4%) and new housing starts (ahead by just 4.3%) showed tepid rebounds, indicating that recovery has yet to reach all corners of the American economy. Jobless claims posted their best number since mid-March (1.5 million), but remained high by historical standards. vi, vii, viii
Final Thoughts
Last week saw the flare-up of border tensions in two geopolitical hotspots: North Korea and the disputed border region between China and India. The hope, of course, is that escalation can be avoided through diplomacy, but any heightening in tensions may become a concern for global markets.
THIS WEEK: KEY ECONOMIC DATA
Monday: Existing Home Sales.
Tuesday: New Home Sales.
Thursday: Durable Goods Orders. Gross Domestic Product (GDP). Jobless Claims.
Friday: Consumer Sentiment.
_________________________________
i The Wall Street Journal, June 19, 2020
ii The Wall Street Journal, June 19, 2020
iii The Wall Street Journal, June 19, 2020
iv The Wall Street Journal, June 16, 2020
v The Wall Street Journal, June 16, 2020
vi MarketWatch, June 16, 2020
vii CNBC, June 17, 2020
viii The Wall Street Journal, June 18, 2020